Why New Zealand is seeing an exodus of over-30s

2026-03-075:594189www.cnn.com

Twenty years of memories spilled across Jacinda Thorn’s yard. Teddy bears and textbooks, a jumble of whisks and frying pans catching the morning sun.

Twenty years of memories spilled across Jacinda Thorn’s yard.

Teddy bears and textbooks, camping gear stacked against her husband’s drum kit, a jumble of whisks and frying pans catching the morning sun.

With just five suitcases and their Shih Tzu Bubbles in tow, the family – Thorn, 43, husband Blair, 44, and their children Eva and Chase – swapped their home in New Zealand’s capital for a place in Melbourne – a third larger at the same price.

“I never thought I’d live outside of Wellington, let alone New Zealand,” she told CNN from Australia, two years on. “I still love it, but our family is now thriving and life has a whole new sense of adventure and ease.”

New Zealand, a picturesque nation in the South Pacific, consistently ranks among the countries people most want to move to, and has become an attractive bolthole for wealthy Americans seeking a safe haven in an unstable world.

But it’s shedding its own people at near-record levels.

Over the past four years, the number of New Zealanders aged 30-50 emigrating has more than doubled – from 18,000 to 43,000 – fueled by rising living costs and a weakening job market, demographers told CNN.

Thorn’s more famous namesake, former Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern, recently became the unlikely face of this exodus. The 45-year-old’s office confirmed last week that she and her family have relocated to Sydney, after they were spotted house-hunting in the city’s affluent northern beaches.

New Zealand's former Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern speaks during a joint press conference with Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese at the Commonwealth Parliamentary Offices in Sydney in 2022.

Kiwis moving abroad is not uncommon, and more Kiwis generally are choosing to leave than before; in the year ending November 2025, almost 122,000 people emigrated, a 4% jump from the previous year and higher than a previous spike in 2012.

But traditionally it’s been those in their 20s packing up their lives and moving to London or Australia to work and travel for a few years. There is even a nickname for it locally – doing your “Big OE,” or Overseas Experience.

While these young adults remain the largest group heading abroad, mid-lifers, like Ardern, are now the fastest-growing segment, with retirees increasingly joining them, according to government data.

“It’s quite an unusual trend,” said economist Brad Olsen, chief executive and principal economist at Infometrics Ltd. “It’s only when you have those much tougher economic times that you generally see a net outflow of groups over 40.”

This 30s-to-50s age group stands out because its members are often moving their “center of gravity,” leaving behind established careers, networks and family ties, says sociologist Paul Spoonley, distinguished professor emeritus at Massey University in New Zealand.

“So the decision to migrate needs a very strong economic imperative to overcome that.”

The Thorn family, for their part, is reaping the rewards after Blair discovered his data engineer salary would jump by 50% in Australia, where Kiwis get automatic work and residency rights.

Jacinda Thorn relocated from Wellington to Melbourne with her husband Blair and their children Eva (left) and Chase (centre).

Eva, 16, and Chase, 10, are excelling at school and the family is saving big. Their weekly grocery bill has dropped from the equivalent of about $400 to $267; fuel and public transport are 40% cheaper; and GP visits cost 25% less – with same-day appointments replacing week-long waits.

CNN spoke with more than a dozen New Zealanders making the leap abroad mid-career – a family of four settling in England, another thriving in Scotland and a woman who calls Spain home after brief stays in Qatar, Abu Dhabi and Turkey.

Jacinda Thorn's garage during her family's move.
The Thorn family sold almost everything they owned and swapped their Wellington home (pictured) for a newer place in Melbourne – a third larger at the same price.

Others have started afresh in the US, particularly in urban hubs like San Francisco, Los Angeles and New York.

Darren Eckford landed a role to set up an overseas arm of a New Zealand charity in the United Kingdom and relocated with his partner and two children just three weeks later, aged 33.

He is now head of learning and organizational development at CIWEM, a professional body in the water and environment sector.

“Traditional ‘Kiwi’ skillsets which were in rich supply back home, were in high demand in the UK,” Eckford told CNN. “And we were much closer to buying a family home if I packed up my savings and moved it to the UK.”

New Zealand has been plagued by a stagnant economy for two years, with negative growth in the year to September 2025 and unemployment hitting a decade high in recent months.

Its housing market has also crashed, with major centers Auckland and Wellington suffering among their worst slumps in history, following a post-pandemic surge – with prices down nearly 30% in the capital since January 2022.

“The country faces its highest unemployment rate since 2016, making jobs harder to find, especially for young and mid-career workers,” Olsen said.

In some cities, dwindling government and public-sector jobs have forced many who could previously rely on high, stable incomes to make tough decisions.

Darren Eckford and his family in Cornwall after their relocation from New Zealand to the United Kingdom.

Senior policy adviser Aaron Harold and his partner, a solicitor, relocated to Australia last spring after two consecutive Christmas rounds of job cuts at their employers in Wellington made them fear for job security.

“Our wages are similar in Australia and employment law means longer probation periods, but the pros definitely outweigh the cons,” Harold, 43, told CNN.

“Career opportunities are better here and there is more choice. We also enjoy city life and the warmer weather.”

Almost 60% of leavers head to Australia, whose government estimates 670,000 Kiwi citizens now live there – equivalent to 12.5% of New Zealand’s current population.

The unemployment rate is lower at 4.2% compared with New Zealand’s 5.4%, while the median weekly income for full-time workers is 37% higher – the equivalent of $1,451 in Australia versus $912 in New Zealand, according to 2025 data from Stats NZ and the Australian Statistics Bureau.

Mark Berger, head of NZRelo, which helps Kiwis move across the Tasman Sea, said the biggest shift he’s observed is in people’s motivations.

“Kiwis are not moving for a few years of better pay anymore,” he told CNN. “They’re moving permanently to rebuild their lives… driven by hope for stability, opportunity and fairness.”

Leading the charge are essential workers like nurses, police officers, teachers and tradespeople – who for years have been targeted by Australian recruitment campaigns – as well as remote professionals drawn to “lifestyle regions” like Queensland’s Sunshine Coast, Berger said.

New Zealand still attracts more migrants than it loses, with official figures showing a net gain of 13,700 in the past year.

But the gap is closing – leading to the slowest population growth in 12 years – and it’s not a straightforward swap, Olsen said.

“It’s a much bigger turnover,” he added, noting that this “churn” can sap productivity as new arrivals need time to adjust while departing mid-career professionals often take decades of experience and institutional knowledge with them.

And as New Zealand’s population ages, it will be increasingly difficult to replace retiring workers unless the country can retain or lure back the 30-to-50s, Olsen added.

“If we have fewer young people coming in, keeping that prime working age group in the middle will be vital to keeping New Zealand’s economic motor turning.”

Almost 60% of those leaving New Zealand head to Australia, whose government estimates 670,000 Kiwi citizens now live there. Pictured above is Melbourne's Sydney Road.

Spoonley said the departures are eroding “the quantum of talent New Zealand that is very good at producing,” and raised the question “are they ever going to be enticed back?”

Meanwhile current trends of people arriving to New Zealand include migrants from India, the Philippines and China, “and that shift has been quite rapid,” said Olsen.

“It’s changing the demographics of New Zealand quite considerably and quite quickly,” he added.

These arrivals enter industries across the board but primarily construction, house care, IT and computer work as well as one of New Zealand’s key industries – the primary sector which includes agriculture, forestry and mining, according to Olsen.

The experience of Scott and Charlotte George, who moved to the US during the last migration spike, highlights both challenges and opportunities for those make the move for good.

Scott George and his family at Boston's Fenway Park following the family's move to the US city.

After losing their home in the 2011 Christchurch earthquake, the couple, then 38, relocated to Boston with their children Marcelle and Hylton, seeking better economic and educational prospects.

Scott, founder of payment system Paywaz, said they were drawn by the scale of opportunity in the US, especially for entrepreneurship, with greater capital, specialist talent, larger markets, and faster networks than in New Zealand.

But the move wasn’t without its challenges, including limited access to capital as immigrants and the need to build a professional track record in a system where credit history and residency length matter.

“The biggest challenge has been finding our ‘fit’” he said, adding that each US state feels culturally and economically distinct.

“Being a Kiwi, and from a smaller country, can come with a lingering sense of distance. It takes deliberate effort to build community and put down long-term roots.”

For many like the Georges, identity remains at the core. Speaking to CNN, many migrants described themselves as “proudly Kiwi” as they build their lives elsewhere, balancing the benefits of life abroad with a lasting connection to home.

“Home becomes a relationship, not a postcode,” George added. “You realize you’re carrying your country with you in your accent, your values, your humor and the way you show up.”


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Comments

  • By roenxi 2026-03-077:429 reply

    Bit of a tease, they don't explain why New Zealand are seeing an exodus in over-30s. I suspect there is an elephant in the room here that isn't being discussed. Particularly in that age range I doubt people are getting a sudden urge to adventure and excitement that they didn't feel in their 20s.

    These articles like to throw out random economic statistics as though they have explanatory power, but they really don't. What exactly are the policies at play here?

    > “Our wages are similar in Australia and employment law means longer probation periods, but the pros definitely outweigh the cons”

    It is just a minor point, but really. If a country has an employment problem, short probation periods are a terrible idea. To get employers to employ people the easiest strategy is to make it easy and safe for them to employ people. Let them hire and fire at will. What is it with people and this instinct to immediately make life harder for the only person willing to offer someone a job. If people are leaving the island and a contributing factor is they don't have jobs, make it easy to give them a job. Don't make it harder then do this mild surprise routine when they move somewhere where people can actually employ them.

    • By thewhitetulip 2026-03-078:132 reply

      > Let them hire and fire people at will

      India is facing a weird problem. Everyone keeps increasing the notice period. Unlike the US where you can quit on the spot, Indian firms, almost all, have a 90 day notice period.

      But they rarely give offer letters to anyone who isn't already on notice period.

      So becomes the vicious cycle. Be on NP to get an offer letter. But who will risk resigning before getting an offer

      And then HRs as stupid questions like "you already have an offer why are you still looking for a change" while having zero self awareness that they are contributing to the cycle.

      If everyone made NP to be 15 days or 20 days then people will not get time to attend 100 interviews

      Moral of the story: nobody wants to take meaningful decisions. Everything thinks exclusively of the short term

      • By sometimes_all 2026-03-0711:521 reply

        > India is facing a weird problem

        Corporate India is facing way too many weird problems, not just 90-day notice periods:

        1. Refusal to provide leaving documents if you leave on less than excellent terms, but you absolutely need pristine docs and sometimes multiple references when joining

        2. Salary expectations as compulsory form fields during job applications, but no salary ranges provided in job descriptions

        3. An unhealthy approach to leaves - need doctor certificates, way too early notices for leaves more than a few days, too few leaves, etc.

        4. A sudden leap in "immediate joining" requirements - you need to come at once, but you can only leave after at least 90 days

        5. Playing games with insurance, salary deductions and compulsory contribution requirements to management's favorite CSR pots

        In the past few years I've become so frustrated that I just don't bother with large company job applications, or messages from Indian recruiters, because there's a 99% chance there's a really crappy process involved. Smaller firms with good founders / non-Indian consulting roles are a lot more relaxing, and most of the times pay is higher as well.

        • By thewhitetulip 2026-03-0714:24

          And they now need PAN and ADHAAR for even applying!

          And nobody ever gives early release for their employees.

      • By ponector 2026-03-0723:01

        In many EU countries it's common to have 3-6-month notice period and contacts with unlimited term. And somehow people are moving between companies. If you are not willing to wait 6 months for a new employee - just get a contractor.

    • By consp 2026-03-078:121 reply

      I always find it interesting employers only look at the short term benefits. Generally employment safety laws dampen income rise over time so for an employer it is cheaper to hold on to someone than hire a new, which also lessens knowledge loss.

      • By roenxi 2026-03-0722:08

        That isn't to their long term benefit. A similar argument would be that consumers should be aiming for an economy like South Sudan. GDP per capita of around $400/annum. Consumers like to minimise spending and so if the South Sudanese only spend a few hundred dollars a year on average that must be great for them...

        The thing the low wages argument misses is that employers don't actually want to minimise labour spending, they optimise by increasing budget for labour all the time. They want to minimise wasteful and unproductive labour spending. If people will take less money, they'll offer less money. If a role doesn't add value, they'll cut the role. If a role is adding money on the margins though, they're enthusiastic about hiring more people even if the wages paid are a bit higher, because it is a win-win situation where the workers make more money and the business makes more profit.

        Long story short - it isn't at all clear that low wages driven by hiring impediments are a long term win for businesses. It might just be a lose-lose situation where they happen to offer a worse deal to workers as a byproduct of being unable to maximise their profits.

    • By guidedlight 2026-03-078:162 reply

      In 2023, the Australian government announced a direct pathway to citizenship for New Zealander citizens who live in Australia for four years.

      I think that’s a pretty big incentive to move from New Zealand to Australia.

      • By gassit 2026-03-0712:18

        There has been free movement back and forward since 1973. Citizenship hardly matters: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trans-Tasman_Travel_Arrangemen...

      • By mvdtnz 2026-03-0717:50

        That's really hardly an incentive at all. We Kiwis have always been granted a special category visa which gives us permanent residency in Australia. Unless you want to vote, commit crimes without being deported or milk the welfare system there's little benefit to citizenship.

    • By tim-tday 2026-03-0815:30

      It’s because of high cost of living and a stagnating economy, particularly the job market. Kiwis find their skillsets valued more highly elsewhere. (And their housing, food and medical costs go down too) It was in the article.

      https://archive.ph/FXfp1

    • By vasco 2026-03-077:541 reply

      For the same reason governments put price controls in place during catastrophes. Because they never studied enough or believe their voters never studied enough to understand basic economics. Likely the latter. Governments believing their people too stupid to understand the right move is often the reason for implementing dumb measures.

      • By throwawaysleep 2026-03-078:031 reply

        A lot of it is that people get far more angry at price gouging than a shortage.

        • By vasco 2026-03-078:05

          Yes, because they don't understand economics. It's a classic "sounds bad but is actually the fastest way to solve the problem" situation. So we kill people by delaying more resources in order to keep the optics nice.

    • By ndsipa_pomu 2026-03-079:401 reply

      Allowing employers to fire people at will leads to abuse of their employees. There's also the problem that sexism/racism will be a driver of those sackings too.

      • By ponector 2026-03-0723:061 reply

        The other side of the coin: if it's hard to fire employee, company will not hire extra people and it's hard to get a permanent position in such circumstances.

        • By ndsipa_pomu 2026-03-090:36

          Yes, but in general, abusive employers are far more common than employers that don't hire people. Companies that are reluctant to employ people due to employee protection laws are very likely to be abusive employers.

    • By sandworm101 2026-03-078:241 reply

      >> let them hire and fire at will.

      New Zealand is not silicon valley. Two things: tourism and agriculture. These are seasonal industries. New Zealand might not want to deal with thousands of companies hiring staff for only a season, or using visiting backpackers to cheaply cover jobs that should go to locals. And they probably dont want to hear about import temp labor from asia.

      I remember visiting Whistler BC a few years back during the ski season. All the hotel staff seemed to be auzzi or kiwi. The actual locals couldnt find proper jobs with so many backpackers willing to live communally for a few months and then disappear. While certainly a boon for local businesses, the people who actually vote on stuff were not happy. (Canada is too big and diverse to change its labor laws for this issue. New Zealand is not.)

      • By freefaler 2026-03-079:131 reply

        With NZ cost of living if you factor in higher labor costs it will make everything even more expensive relative to income. Cheap temporary labor is great not only for the companies, it's good for the consumers too, bringing prices down and availability up. The backpacker is in and out, dosen't need medical care, social security and other services.

        Many of the jobs that are low paid backpacker frendly, the locals aren't to keen to do. If you don't have them there, many busineses will close down, because margins can't support 100% local staff.

        • By _DeadFred_ 2026-03-0717:351 reply

          It's crazy capitalism is now at the point where no one having jobs is a good thing, and local job creation not going to locals is actually good for the locals because it brings prices down for non-local tourists. Cheap temporary labor bringing prices down for tourists benefits locals how?

          How are people supposed to live in this world?

          Not to mention when I travel I go to meet locals and see the local culture.

          • By freefaler 2026-03-0813:131 reply

            It's not the capitalism fault. It's the limitation of the physical world. You barter your skills for other's products/services.

            More people in the tribe = more people to swap with (larger market). More people who take the shitty low paid job = cheaper products.

            If you don't have the cheap backpackers working shitty jobs in the hotels you won't get the tourists, who bring a lot of money in in places like Queenstown. Less money = less businesses = less jobs.

            Offline world is a hard and unforgiving place. Either we find how to barter our skills/products or we rely on the taxes from the ones who are productive.

            • By sandworm101 2026-03-0918:52

              The real world is not a highschool econ classroom. It is far more complex than supply and demand. Beyond barter for labor, workers give up vast abilities to live in a society that protects them from abuse. Part of that is allowing them to create and enforce rules to protect them from known evils.

    • By pseudohadamard 2026-03-085:40

      It seems to be a grass-is-greener thing, except that when you get to Australia you find that most of the grass is brown. Or a politicians-fallacy relocation, life is tough, we'll move somewhere else which is mostly the same but at least we'll have done something.

      Another thing not covered in the article: Some people are leaving. OK, good luck to them, and I hope things work out. Now what? Do you lose points if people leave? What difference does it make?

    • By aaron695 2026-03-0712:47

      [dead]

  • By DaedalusII 2026-03-078:026 reply

    nz has no meaningful economy. they have a real estate market and agriculture which has maxed out its productivity, because they have completely run out of land. they have cheap, generally low quality colleges, and attract middle class/rich asians to live there for a few years and get a strong passport.

    they also have a big problem with alcoholism and domestic violence, and an absurdly complicated tax system. 15% first nations and 15% asian immigrants, the 70% euro population is skewed elderly and contributes most of the tax receipts, and that includes a lot of brit retirees

    the problem is they run the country like canada/norway/australia/alaska, except those places all have enormous resource exports that pay for the welfare state. nz just has milk farms

    the median salary is less than USD $50k, and these people can get the EB3 greencard or just move to EU/ Australia

    • By sam_bristow 2026-03-078:111 reply

      I'll give you most of those criticisms, but I'm a little surprised you think our tax system is overly complicated. For the vast majority of people it's pretty much just a progressive PAYE income tax handled by your employer and a flat 15% GST/VAT on purchases without all the carve outs that seem common elsewhere.

      Genuinely curious what I'm missing.

      • By DaedalusII 2026-03-079:44

        the capital gains tax system in nz is complicated and inconsistent compared to most countries, bright line tests

        the way that nz taxes foreign sourced income is also very complex with 'deeming rules' etc

        it results that rich people probably pay 10% total tax and normal people pay 20%+ income tax, and then normal people cant afford real estate and move to australia.

    • By Marsymars 2026-03-078:17

      Not sure how well that particular comparison to Canada holds; median salary in Canada is less than 40k USD.

    • By jemmyw 2026-03-0710:351 reply

      > absurdly complicated tax system

      ... have you never been to another country? I've lived in the UK, USA and Denmark, and NZ has, by far, the simplest and easiest tax system. Especially for running a business. The UK and USA are especially complex with so many rules and carve outs.

      My first job in the UK involved reading through mountains of tax laws to write a payroll system.

      • By jemmyw 2026-03-0710:43

        Further info, it's ranked as one of the easiest places to do business, in part due to the simple tax system:

        https://www.worldbank.org/en/news/press-release/2016/10/25/n...

        Not that that's necessarily the best thing in the world, I believe there was some trouble a few years ago because being easy and cheap to register a business led to a lot of dodgy shell companies.

    • By FpUser 2026-03-078:261 reply

      I just read about EB3 greencard. The processing times are enormous. Employers are simply not going to wait that long bar some exceptional cases

      • By DaedalusII 2026-03-079:501 reply

        i made a mistake. i meant e3 visa

        https://www.uscis.gov/working-in-the-united-states/temporary...

        a nz cit can live in au for 4 years then become au citizen then move to the US

        if they go to college in au then most likely on graduation they can move directly to the us

        • By TMWNN 2026-03-081:16

          >a nz cit can live in au for 4 years then become au citizen then move to the US

          Canada is also used as a stopover in this way for those bound for the US.

    • By mvdtnz 2026-03-0717:51

      There's so much misinformation in this post I'm not even going to refute it. Basically everything you said is a lie or a distortion.

  • By ares623 2026-03-077:051 reply

    It's a pretty brutal negative feedback loop. This video explains it quite well https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uBpgTgFF1ek

    Even immigrants are just using New Zealand as a stepping-stone country to later move to Australia.

    • By sefrost 2026-03-077:21

      It feels like people do this to Canada to get in to the USA as well.

      Ireland->UK seems to be increasing as well because of the Common Travel Area.

      I think a lot of historical agreements of this nature will not hold up in the era of mass international migration. The CTA is obviously a complex example.

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