I did a thought experiment where, at scale, if each human was given maximum agency over the observable universe, we’d each manage 250 galaxies.

That comes out to about 25 trillion stars and 40 trillion planets.

Give or take a few orders of magnitude, I’m confident humans will either figure out how to expand into that space or squabble over rationing our remaining resources on earth.

I do think LLMs will make incredible progress and we'll see lots of breakthroughs from it, but I agree it's nowhere close to AGI.

I'm not sure that matters though—if a technology can give humans what they want exactly when they want it, it doesn't matter if AGI, LLMs, humans, or some other technology is behind that.

Yep! I just migrated a Fly PG cluster database to SQLite because I over-provisioned DB resources and got tired of dealing with the occasional node crashing.

TBH I wish they had their managed PG cluster running because it would have made it easier to downsize, but I’m happy with SQLite.

I used SQLite for another project that I knew was going to max out at 100 concurrent users and it worked great. The best moment was when a user reported a production error I couldn’t recreate locally, so I downloaded the database and recreated it with the latest production data on my laptop. You couldn’t do that with a high-compliance app, but that’s not most apps.

I’m hesitant to outright say “SQLite and Rails is great”because you have to know your app will run on one node. If you know that then it’s fantastic.

I wish Fly would polish the developer experience on top of SQLite. They're close, but it's missing:

1. A built-in UI and CLI that manages SQLite from a volume. Getting the initial database on a Fly Machine requires more work than it should.

2. `fly console` doesn't work with SQLite because it spins up a separate machine, which isn't connected to the same volume where the SQLite data resides. Instead you have to know to run `fly ssh console —pty`, which effectively SSH's into the machine with the database.

The problem in general with SQLite web apps is they tend to be small apps, so you need a lot of them to make a decent amount of money hosting them.

I keep going back and forth on this feeling, but lately I find myself thinking "F it, I'm going to do what I'm going to do that interests me".

Today I'm working on doing the unthinkable in an AI-world: putting together a video course that teaches developers how to use Phlex components in Rails projects and selling it for a few hundred bucks.

One way of thinking about AI is that it puts so much new information in front of people that they're going to need help from people known to have experience to navigate it all and curate it. Maybe that will become more valuable?

Who knows. That's the worst part at this moment in time—nobody really knows the depths or limits of it all. We'll see breakthroughs in some areas, and others not.