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tmnvix

2452

Karma

2015-12-04

Created

Recent Activity

  • https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ONvjyKAr3-Y

    From about 2:50

    Also talks about the likely success of the 'bunker busters' at Fodrow.

  • FWIW one take on all of this that I have considered is that Israel and the US have been looking for an out that allows them to claim to have successfully achieved their objectives. I wouldn't be surprised if this attack was unsuccessful but won't be followed up if that becomes apparent later.

    Israel only just (before this US bombing) claimed they had set Iran's nuclear program back by 2-3 years. I found the timing of the announcement curious.

    This after suffering extensive damage from direct missile strikes (Haifa port/refinery, Mossad headquarters, Wiezmann institute, C4I/cyber defense, etc). I think the missile strikes have been much more damaging than expected and understandably under-reported. Weapons expert Ted Postol of MIT claims Israel's missile defense is only intercepting around 5%.

    I think Israel will be very unhappy if things continue to escalate without further US involvement. Depending on how Iran retaliates against the US, further involvement might not be forthcoming. We've seen seen Iran attack a US base in Jordan without causing escalation from the US. Could expect something similar.

  • I think it's too early to say that the Fordow facility has definitely been destroyed. So far I've only heard Trump make the claim and I'm not inclined to take his word for it.

  • Are there other uses for highly enriched uranium? Wikipedia mentions 'research' I think.

    Has the Iranian government ever explained why they are enriching uranium?

  • > Would you prefer your dissident messages be read by Meta Corporation or the Islamic Republic of Iran?

    I'd prefer my messages to not be available to an actor shown to be using AI to select targets for bombing campaigns.

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